Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOU Asher 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
2 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
3 QU ethan 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
3 LEE Taeryum 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
5 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
6 ZHAO ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
7 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
8 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
9 MORET Declan 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% < 1% -
10 FEELY Samuel 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
11 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
12 SUK Kwon 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
13 SAFAI Bardia 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
14 ZHOU Silvan 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
15 SMITH Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
16 CHA Declan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
17 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
18 WENDLING Andrew 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
19 KAZA Avyaan 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
20 CHOI Kevin 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
21 CHONG Nikolai 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
22 GAO Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
23 CHEN Rintaro 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
24 YOUNG Esmonde 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
25 CHAN Evan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
26 DOUGLAS James 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.