16th Annual Hespenheide Memorial Tournament (Y-12 & Div 2 Mixed Foil)

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM

York Fencing Club - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 METZ Mason - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
2 STURGIS Zachary C. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
3 BLACK Henry 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
3 GODIN Willis 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
5 BAYER John P. - - 2% 19% 45% 33% 2%
6 BLAM Aaron - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
7 WATSON Logan - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% -
8 LAZAR Carolina 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
9 NICUDEMUS Bryella - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
10 KIM Aiden - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
11 LEE Ethan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
12 STURGIS Bruce T. - - - - 5% 40% 55%
13 LEE Hans - 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
14 KRAMER Ryan 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
15 RUSANOV Oleg - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
16 GORDON Rachel A. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
17 ROSA II Carl D. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
18 DAVIS Connor - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
19 HINTON Nickolys R. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
20 NAUGHTON Aidan 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
21 NOVOTNY Felicia A. 1% 8% 33% 44% 14% 1% -
22 JANKOWSKI Jakob 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
23 REARDON Isabella 48% 44% 8% 1% - - -
24 GANT Ansley 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
25 AGNEW Charlie 17% 46% 30% 6% - - -
26 ZAIDI Sohail 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
27 TEVIS Kyle 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
28 ALLEN Augustus 27% 51% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.