16th Annual Hespenheide Memorial Tournament (Y-12 & Div 2 Mixed Foil)

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 11:00 AM

York Fencing Club - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
2 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 BLACK Henry 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
3 GODIN Willis 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
5 BAYER John P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 35% 2%
6 BLAM Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
7 WATSON Logan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% -
8 LAZAR Carolina 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
9 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
10 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
11 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
12 STURGIS Bruce T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 55%
13 LEE Hans 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
14 KRAMER Ryan 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
15 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
16 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
17 ROSA II Carl D. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
18 DAVIS Connor 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
19 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
20 NAUGHTON Aidan 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
21 NOVOTNY Felicia A. 100% 99% 91% 59% 15% 1% -
22 JANKOWSKI Jakob 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
23 REARDON Isabella 100% 52% 9% 1% - - -
24 GANT Ansley 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
25 AGNEW Charlie 100% 83% 36% 6% - - -
26 ZAIDI Sohail 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
27 TEVIS Kyle 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
28 ALLEN Augustus 100% 73% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.