2025 TCFC May Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
2 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
3 OBERLY Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
3 SCHROEDER Karl A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 MORRIS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
6 RIECK Brennan 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
7 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38% 7%
8 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
9 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
10 CHO Joseph 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
11 FRALEY Orion 100% 99% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
12 HONEK Kyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 5%
13 SOTO Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23% 3%
14 SANFORD Wesley 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% - -
15 MINGO Joshua 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
16 CAVEN Henry 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% - -
17 MINGO Ron 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
18 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%
19 WILLER Ryan 100% 88% 40% 9% 1% - -
20 MOHAMED Sabir 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 9% 1%
21 STENZEL Henry 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
22 SVOBODA Alex 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
23 RUBIN Joshua 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
24 CAVEN Emerald 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
25 CULVER Hannah 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
25 NOOR Hamdi 100% 78% 32% 7% 1% - -
27 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 95% 63% 22% 4% - -
28 NELSON Gwendolyn 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.