2025 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Aedin - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 TRULL A.J. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 ZAYDMAN David M. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
3 SONG Troy - - 1% 6% 26% 47% 21%
5 SIALA Omar 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
6 XIE Brandon - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
7 FEINBERG James Y. 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
8 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
9 MOSKOWITZ Martin 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
10 WANG Zichun - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
11 TRAN Spencer - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
12 LIU Jeremiah W. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
13 WANG Xiangdong - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 7%
14 BAJAJ Nakul - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 2%
15 KABA Elias 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
16 YIN Chujun - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
17 ZHANG Jonathan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
18 PAN Anthony 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
19 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
20 ERIKSEN Casey 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1% -
21 WANG-SONG Evan 2% 15% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
22 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
23 SONG Changze - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
24 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
25 MEN Junda - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
26 SUH Aiden 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
27 ZHENG Jason 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
28 DOWD Peter L. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
29 GLUSHKOV David 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 3%
30 O'BRIEN Eamon - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
31 HOLBROOK Joshua 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
32 CHEN Tianjun 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
33 GU Eric 30% 42% 22% 5% - -
34 LIN Lucas 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
35 MANSFIELD Hunter 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
36 BRESLAV Asher 67% 28% 4% - - -
37 ORESKOVIC Olivier 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
38 OTTAVIANO Aaron 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
39 MITSCH Aubrey 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
40 WU Chi Kuan 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
41 ZHANG Roland - 4% 17% 36% 34% 10% 1%
42 FOGEL Jake 37% 42% 18% 4% - -
43 ROSIELLO Francesco 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
44 LI Ray 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
45 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
46 NIXON-PERONI Micah 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
47 SHONEMAN Sam 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
47 PESSIN Nadav 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
49 WHITE Aidan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
50 CAFASSO Alexander 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
51 SONPAL Winslow 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
52 SATDEV Thomas 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.