2025 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Aedin - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 TRULL A.J. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 ZAYDMAN David M. - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
3 SONG Troy - - 1% 6% 26% 47% 21%
5 SIALA Omar 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
6 XIE Brandon - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
7 FEINBERG James Y. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
8 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
9 MOSKOWITZ Martin - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
10 WANG Zichun - - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
11 TRAN Spencer - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
12 LIU Jeremiah W. - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 2%
13 WANG Xiangdong - - 3% 15% 37% 38% 7%
14 BAJAJ Nakul - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
15 KABA Elias 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
16 YIN Chujun 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
17 ZHANG Jonathan 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
18 PAN Anthony 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 4%
19 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
20 ERIKSEN Casey 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
21 WANG-SONG Evan 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
22 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
23 SONG Changze 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
24 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
25 MEN Junda - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
26 SUH Aiden 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
27 ZHENG Jason 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
28 DOWD Peter L. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
29 GLUSHKOV David 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 3%
30 O'BRIEN Eamon - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
31 HOLBROOK Joshua 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
32 CHEN Tianjun 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
33 GU Eric 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
34 LIN Lucas 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
35 MANSFIELD Hunter 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
36 BRESLAV Asher 67% 28% 4% - - -
37 ORESKOVIC Olivier 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
38 OTTAVIANO Aaron 6% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
39 MITSCH Aubrey 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
40 WU Chi Kuan 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
41 ZHANG Roland - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9% 1%
42 FOGEL Jake 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
43 ROSIELLO Francesco 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
44 LI Ray 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
45 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
46 NIXON-PERONI Micah 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
47 SHONEMAN Sam 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
47 PESSIN Nadav 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
49 WHITE Aidan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
50 CAFASSO Alexander 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
51 SONPAL Winslow 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
52 SATDEV Thomas 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.