2025 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 21%
5 SIALA Omar 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
6 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
7 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
8 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
9 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
10 WANG Zichun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
11 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
12 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
13 WANG Xiangdong 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 7%
14 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
15 KABA Elias 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
16 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
17 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
18 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
19 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
20 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
21 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
22 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
23 SONG Changze 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
24 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
25 MEN Junda 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
26 SUH Aiden 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
27 ZHENG Jason 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
28 DOWD Peter L. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
29 GLUSHKOV David 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
30 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
31 HOLBROOK Joshua 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
32 CHEN Tianjun 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
33 GU Eric 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
34 LIN Lucas 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
35 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
36 BRESLAV Asher 100% 33% 5% - - -
37 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
38 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
39 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
40 WU Chi Kuan 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
41 ZHANG Roland 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
42 FOGEL Jake 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
43 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
44 LI Ray 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
45 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
46 NIXON-PERONI Micah 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
47 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
47 PESSIN Nadav 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
49 WHITE Aidan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
50 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
51 SONPAL Winslow 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
52 SATDEV Thomas 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.