2025 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Ethan - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 SENANI Arjun - - 5% 24% 44% 23% 3%
3 TAN Aidan - - - - 4% 31% 65%
3 TANG Terry - - 1% 14% 39% 37% 9%
5 SHAO Eric - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
6 LI Aaron - - - 1% 11% 40% 49%
7 LI Ayren - - 1% 10% 37% 43% 9%
8 HOU Gaven - 6% 29% 41% 21% 3%
9 WANG Rory - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
10 CHENG Logan - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
11 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
12 FENG Michael - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
13 XU Nathan - 6% 27% 41% 23% 4%
14 YANG Dylan - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
15 ZHAO Brian - 3% 19% 40% 32% 7%
16 BERETICH Brian 2% 17% 38% 33% 11% 1%
17 STAFFORD Gareth 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
18 SURESH Rohan - - 4% 24% 43% 25% 4%
19 ABRAMKIN Tim - 6% 24% 40% 26% 5%
20 GATES Combustion 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 1%
21 SABATINO Patrick 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 1%
22 LI Jayden 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
23 TIBBETTS Justin 1% 16% 37% 33% 12% 1%
24 QIAN Zekai 1% 12% 34% 38% 14% 2% -
25 TAM Kyle 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
26 SFINTESCU Alex 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
27 LAO Kevin 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
28 JABLOKOV Roman 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% 1% -
29 ZHAO Brandon - - 7% 34% 40% 16% 2%
30 JIN Andy - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
31 SHAMBARGER Graham 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% -
32 BUCOURT Vincent 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
33 CELESTE Ezra 24% 47% 25% 4% - - -
34 KROLEWSKI Alexander 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
35 BRILLANTES Luke 27% 45% 22% 5% - -
36 REN Ryan 3% 20% 39% 30% 9% -
37 KALISH James 9% 46% 34% 10% 1% -
38 BERNARD Jonathan 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
39 HU Daniel 5% 32% 48% 13% 1% - -
40 DAWSON Myer 64% 30% 5% - - -
41 CHOI Caleb 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
42 CHENG Andrew 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
43 MACCIOLI Daniel 41% 46% 12% 1% - - -
44 NG Deacon 72% 26% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.