2025 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
2 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26% 3%
3 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
3 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 9%
5 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
6 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
7 LI Ayren 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 9%
8 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 3%
9 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49%
10 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
11 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
12 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
13 XU Nathan 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
14 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
15 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
16 BERETICH Brian 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
17 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
18 SURESH Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 4%
19 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
20 GATES Combustion 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 1%
21 SABATINO Patrick 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 1%
22 LI Jayden 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
23 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
24 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 2% -
25 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
26 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
27 LAO Kevin 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
28 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
29 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 18% 2%
30 JIN Andy 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
31 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
32 BUCOURT Vincent 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
33 CELESTE Ezra 100% 76% 29% 4% - - -
34 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
35 BRILLANTES Luke 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
36 REN Ryan 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% -
37 KALISH James 100% 91% 45% 11% 1% -
38 BERNARD Jonathan 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
39 HU Daniel 100% 95% 63% 14% 1% - -
40 DAWSON Myer 100% 36% 6% - - -
41 CHOI Caleb 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
42 CHENG Andrew 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
43 MACCIOLI Daniel 100% 59% 12% 1% - - -
44 NG Deacon 100% 28% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.