Event Results
Marcel Miernik Memorial Challenge - Division II Foil and EpeeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CRESPO Nathaniel Justus | V V V V V | V V V V | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 2 | PIERCE Aaron | V D V D V | V V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 3 | ZHAI Junqi | V V V V D D | V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 3 | KLINKENBERG Patrick | V D V V V | V V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 5 | PEARSALL Riley | V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 6 | TEH Steven | D V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 7 | LIU Kun | D D V D V V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 8 | KARASICK Michael | V V D D D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 9 | HIGGINS Viktor | V V V D V D | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 10 | TANG Jeremy | D D D V V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 11 | MANITT Philip | V V D D D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 12 | LIN Yufei | D D V V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 13 | HSU Catherine | V D D D V | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 14 | JOYNER Braylon | D V D D V | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 15 | KARASICK Andrew | V D D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 16 | YU David | D V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 17 | XIAO Katelyn | D D V D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 18 | RIFKIND Neil | D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 19 | THOMAS Ethan | D D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |