Marcel Miernik Memorial Challenge - Division II Foil and Epee

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fencers Club - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1%
2 PIERCE Aaron - 3% 16% 40% 33% 8%
3 ZHAI Junqi 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
3 KLINKENBERG Patrick 1% 19% 44% 30% 5% -
5 PEARSALL Riley - - 1% 14% 56% 29%
6 TEH Steven - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
7 LIU Kun 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
8 KARASICK Michael - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
9 HIGGINS Viktor - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
10 TANG Jeremy 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
11 MANITT Philip 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
12 LIN Yufei 2% 17% 39% 33% 8% 1%
13 HSU Catherine 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
14 JOYNER Braylon - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
15 KARASICK Andrew 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
16 YU David 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
17 XIAO Katelyn 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
18 RIFKIND Neil 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
19 THOMAS Ethan 31% 43% 21% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.