Youth&Cadet STAR CUP

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Saturday, June 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Star Fencing Academy - Needham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHEN Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 26%
2 XIA Wenhao 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
3 XIONG Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
3 ZHAO Evelyn 100% 97% 76% 34% 4%
5 NADTOCHEVA Vera 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% < 1%
6 STARK Ethan 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
7 WANG Kelly 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
8 LIU KUNDE 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
9 WANG Sally 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
10 JIA Evan 100% 78% 33% 6% -
11 KONG Maxwell 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
12 LU Jason 100% 72% 27% 5% -
13 XIONG David 100% 82% 40% 8% - -
14 QU Even 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
15 WENG Jingfan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2%
16 ZHANG Andrew 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%
17 ZININ Alexander 100% 78% 35% 7% -
18 PENG Aiden 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 2%
19 LI Hannah 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
19 SUSANTO Elizabeth 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
21 TAHMASEBI Alexandre 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
22 KARLICA Sergey 100% 71% 18% 2% - -
23 LI Catherine 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
24 XU Wesley 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
25 BABURKIN Milana 100% 96% 68% 26% 4%
26 KOSTIN Mila 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
27 PAN Calvin 100% 96% 60% 18% 2% -
28 GUO Gwen 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
29 SUSANTO George Michaelson 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
30 MURDOCH Charlotte 100% 92% 58% 16% 1%
31 GAO Luoyan 100% 99% 74% 23% 3% -
32 CRUZ Ophelia 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
33 TONTCHEV Victoria 100% 82% 39% 8% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.