2025 TCFC June Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 8, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GARRETT Samuel - - - 3% 25% 73%
2 KUNJAN Lena R. - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
3 BISSEN Quinn - 3% 28% 42% 23% 4%
3 XIONG Angelica - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
5 ROWLAND Marsden - - 1% 13% 49% 36%
6 SIEDOW William - 11% 35% 38% 14% 2%
7 OBERLY Nicholas - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
8 HORAN Sean T. - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
9 TAKATA Benjamin - - 8% 31% 43% 19%
10 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. - - 9% 44% 41% 5%
11 HARRISKING Benjamin 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
12 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
13 CHO Joseph 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
14 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 22% 48% 27% 2% - -
15 GLENNON Michael - 1% 13% 45% 37% 5%
16 STONE Ken 31% 46% 20% 3% - -
17 SOTO Michael 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
18 TOLLEFSON Zachary 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
18 FRALEY Orion - 10% 59% 27% 3% -
20 CHIEM Karen 12% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
21 YATES Graeme 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
22 BLAT Robert 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
23 RUBIN Joshua 3% 20% 41% 29% 6% -
24 FLANIGAN Kendra 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
25 CAVEN Emerald 37% 54% 8% - - -
26 JORGENSEN Rebekah 47% 45% 7% - - -
26 WILLIAMSON Ryan 3% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
28 CULVER Hannah 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
28 LI Ziyue 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
30 SCHLIEP Anna J. 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.