2025 TCFC June Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 8, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
3 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 97% 69% 27% 4%
3 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 36%
6 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 89% 54% 16% 2%
7 OBERLY Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
8 HORAN Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
9 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 19%
10 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 100% 91% 47% 5%
11 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
12 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
13 CHO Joseph 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
14 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 78% 30% 3% - -
15 GLENNON Michael 100% 100% 99% 86% 42% 5%
16 STONE Ken 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
17 SOTO Michael 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
18 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
18 FRALEY Orion 100% 100% 90% 31% 4% -
20 CHIEM Karen 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
21 YATES Graeme 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
22 BLAT Robert 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
23 RUBIN Joshua 100% 97% 77% 35% 6% -
24 FLANIGAN Kendra 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
25 CAVEN Emerald 100% 63% 9% - - -
26 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 53% 7% - - -
26 WILLIAMSON Ryan 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
28 CULVER Hannah 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
28 LI Ziyue 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
30 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.