The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

ROC - Portland October

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 1:00 PM

BEAVERTON, OR - BEAVERTON, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARIETA Ryan T. - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
2 LARSEN Samuel F. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
3 RAYLE Evan K. - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
3 MCGAW Julian E. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
5 LAKE Adam - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
6 CRANOR Erich L. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 21% 4%
7 LEI Joshua - 1% 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
8 LI Brian X 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
9 BENACK Steven M. - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
10 JOHNSON Lucas W. - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
11 BODON Michele I. - - 1% 7% 30% 47% 15%
12 DUCHOW Matthew D. 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
13 LAWLER Aidan 9% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
14 LEI Jacob 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
15 HINMAN Andrew 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
16 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 15% 38% 33% 11% 2% - -
17 FRANK Fred 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
18 IYOKI Kent - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 13%
19 DEO Ameya 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
20 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
21 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
22 GULLO Kenji Y. 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
23 KLEIN Johannes 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
24 BRADLEY Noah W. 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
25 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 3% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
26 KILUK Andrew 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
27 MANDERA Darsh 63% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.