ROC - Portland October

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 1:00 PM

BEAVERTON, OR - BEAVERTON, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARIETA Ryan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
2 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
3 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
5 LAKE Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
6 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 4%
7 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
8 LI Brian X 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
9 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
10 JOHNSON Lucas W. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
11 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
12 DUCHOW Matthew D. 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
13 LAWLER Aidan 100% 91% 55% 17% 3% - -
14 LEI Jacob 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
15 HINMAN Andrew 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
16 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% - -
17 FRANK Fred 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
18 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
19 DEO Ameya 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
20 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
21 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
22 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
23 KLEIN Johannes 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
24 BRADLEY Noah W. 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
25 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
26 KILUK Andrew 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
27 MANDERA Darsh 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.