NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

E & Under Men's Épée

Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
2 BENNETT Nathaniel 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
3 BYRON Max 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 5%
3 BURNHAM Mark - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
5 OSBORN Reuben - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
6 ROBINSON Garrett 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
7 JHA Adarsh 9% 37% 38% 15% 2% -
8 MOSHIER Calvin 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
9 WARD Kofi - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
10 RAMIREZ CARDONA Sebastian - - - 2% 21% 77%
11 BRESLAV Asher 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
12 YELIZAROV Vladislav - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
13 HANNA Alexander 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
14 SPAGONE Avery - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
15 WARD Carrington R. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13%
16 DU Yifan 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
17 NGUYEN Trung 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
18 SPALDING Elihu - - 5% 27% 53% 15%
19 LIBERT Zachariah - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
20 MASSE Dean 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
21 MITSCH Aubrey 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
22 MANITT Philip 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 2%
23 PESSIN Nadav - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
24 ASHLEY Logan - 6% 24% 40% 26% 5%
25 STEIN Philip - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
26 HOWLETT Daniel - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
27 JESSER Daxton 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
28 BUMPUS Isaias 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
29 PIERINI Noah 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
30 HOLCOMB Liam 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
31 BEAULIEU Edmund 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
32 DIXON Miles 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
33 GU Eric 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
34 PEZZINO Matthew 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 1%
35 CHAVES Evan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
36 HEISLER Maxfield 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
37 LAW Oliver 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
38 NIXON-PERONI Micah 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
39 DOLLARHITE Tommy 1% 8% 29% 41% 21% 1%
40 BENNETT Nathan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
41 SONPAL Winslow 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
42 KOEFERL Miles 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
43 HAN Nathan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
44 BARNES Kieron 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
45 BUISINE Aurelien 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
46 JAMES Lewis I. - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
47 CONNER James 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
48 CHAN Tyler 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% -
49 BAGAM Abhiram 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
50 SONG Ryan 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
51 BERLET Bobby F. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
52 BARRETT Jon 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
53 PANAS Mason 7% 30% 39% 21% 4% -
54 WITHERELL Logan 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
55 COHEN David A. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
56 BUISINE Sebastien 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
57 CHEN Mao Long 12% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
58 CUFF Joe 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
59 TARDIFF Seth 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
60 MORRIS Samuel 1% 23% 41% 27% 7% 1%
61 RICHARDS Jack 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
62 GROSSO-SIEBECKER Toren 3% 24% 44% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.