NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

E & Under Men's Épée

Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
2 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
3 BYRON Max 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
3 BURNHAM Mark 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 OSBORN Reuben 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
6 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1%
7 JHA Adarsh 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
8 MOSHIER Calvin 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
9 WARD Kofi 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
10 RAMIREZ CARDONA Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
11 BRESLAV Asher 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
12 YELIZAROV Vladislav 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
13 HANNA Alexander 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
14 SPAGONE Avery 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
15 WARD Carrington R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
16 DU Yifan 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
17 NGUYEN Trung 100% 99% 95% 77% 47% 17% 3%
18 SPALDING Elihu 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 15%
19 LIBERT Zachariah 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
20 MASSE Dean 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
21 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
22 MANITT Philip 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
23 PESSIN Nadav 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
24 ASHLEY Logan 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
25 STEIN Philip 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
26 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
27 JESSER Daxton 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
28 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
29 PIERINI Noah 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
30 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
31 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
32 DIXON Miles 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
33 GU Eric 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
34 PEZZINO Matthew 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
35 CHAVES Evan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
36 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
37 LAW Oliver 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
38 NIXON-PERONI Micah 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
39 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 1%
40 BENNETT Nathan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
41 SONPAL Winslow 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
42 KOEFERL Miles 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
43 HAN Nathan 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
44 BARNES Kieron 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% -
45 BUISINE Aurelien 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
46 JAMES Lewis I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
47 CONNER James 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
48 CHAN Tyler 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% -
49 BAGAM Abhiram 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
50 SONG Ryan 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
51 BERLET Bobby F. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
52 BARRETT Jon 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
53 PANAS Mason 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
54 WITHERELL Logan 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
55 COHEN David A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
56 BUISINE Sebastien 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
57 CHEN Mao Long 100% 88% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
58 CUFF Joe 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
59 TARDIFF Seth 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
60 MORRIS Samuel 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1%
61 RICHARDS Jack 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
62 GROSSO-SIEBECKER Toren 100% 97% 73% 29% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.