NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

E & Under Women's Épée

Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKLAR Davida - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
2 GARCIA Alysia - 2% 14% 36% 35% 11% 1%
3 BURNELL-WOJTECH River - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
3 ZULUAGA Sofia - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 25%
5 DRON Lily - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
6 POYNTON Cora 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
7 XIAO Katelyn - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
8 ORDORICA Abra - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
9 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
10 MARCHANT Morgan - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
11 LI Yixin Catherine - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
12 PHUONG Elaine 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
13 SONG Charlotte 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
14 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
15 GERBOTH Lauren - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
16 MURTALA Aisha 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
17 ROSZKOWSKI Olivia - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
18 SCHELTZ Kimberly - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
19 BRODEUR Andrea - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
20 ERIKSEN Kate 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
21 GORTI Aadya 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
22 CUFF Addison 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% -
23 SPRINGER Lily 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
24 TIBBETTS Lily 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
25 STOCKTON Catherine - 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%
26 CHOWRIRA Reynah 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
27 ROQUE Alexis - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
28 STEPTOE Cassandra 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
29 MAES Heather J. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
30 GILMORE Lia 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
31 HALL Henrietta 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
32 AUDET Scarlett 56% 36% 7% 1% - -
33 WHEELER Michele L. - - 2% 15% 41% 35% 7%
34 LE NOC’H Farrah 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
35 WESTERFELD Zoey 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
36 SCHAU DeHavilland 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
37 BURNHAM Sarah - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
38 BALLOU Alexandra 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7%
39 LIPPA Eliana 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
40 LIU Ilana 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
41 SETO Karen - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
42 FRANKEL Abigail 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
43 AJAMIAN Deeba 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
44 AJAMIAN Nika - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
45 SHUM Kayla 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
46 ABRAMSON Liliana M. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
47 CROWDER Julia 6% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
48 ONTIVEROS Sara D. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
49 BOYLE Bridget 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
50 LI Danlu < 1% 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
51 MA Yanlei 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
52 MATSUO Kei 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.