National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 76% 12%
2 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
3 DANILOV Sergey 100% 99% 83% 34% 7% 1% -
3 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
7 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
8 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
9 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
10 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
11 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 51%
12 EVERT Todd 100% 98% 82% 49% 15% 1%
13 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
14 PENG Gregory 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
15 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
16 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
17 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 29%
18 LAWLOR Lee 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
19 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
20 DEPAUW Devan 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 11% 1%
21 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
22 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
23 FRENCH Timothy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
23 MCCHESNEY Colin J. 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% -
25 COX Matthew T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
26 STONE Brian M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
27 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
28 STOCK Jordan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
29 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
30 PEI Suyang 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
31 CHIZ Max H. 100% 99% 86% 49% 8% -
32 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
33 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
34 JERDEE trevor 100% 98% 81% 42% 12% 1% -
35 MCNALLY Thomas J. 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
36 MORET Eric N. 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
37 REED David 100% 96% 72% 30% 4% -
38 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 92% 56% 14% 1% -
39 EYMAN Hans 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
40 KIM Jeff 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
41 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
42 MIZRAHI Meir 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
43 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
44 CARTER Austin L. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
45 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben 100% 96% 72% 30% 4% -
46 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 97% 76% 28% 4% -
47 CHEN Vincent 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
49 SOTO Michael 100% 99% 85% 38% 8% 1% -
50 TOMASI John 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
51 SAYLER Gordon 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 4% -
52 KENT IV David 100% 86% 46% 10% 1% -
53 GOLCU Doruk 100% 85% 46% 11% 1% -
54 RHEA Eric L. 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
55 ZHANG Qing 100% 72% 22% 3% - - -
56 KONG Qingjun 100% 69% 19% 2% - - -
57 VRUBEL Nathan 100% 78% 22% 2% - - -
57 RUBIN Josh 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
59 SADLER Allen 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
60 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
61 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
62 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
63 CHO Hans 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
64 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
65 GOODMAN Craig 100% 57% 11% 1% - - -
65 OLSON McGee 100% 41% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.