National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HURME Tommi K. - - 2% 21% 64% 12%
2 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
3 DANILOV Sergey 1% 16% 49% 27% 6% 1% -
3 STEPHAN Jens - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
5 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
6 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
7 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - 1% 20% 79%
8 CONKLIN Jim - - 3% 20% 43% 29% 5%
9 MAKMATOV Vadim - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
10 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
11 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. - - - 7% 42% 51%
12 EVERT Todd 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
13 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
14 PENG Gregory 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
15 BELLIVEAU Shane 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
16 SHULL Marc - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
17 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - - 2% 15% 54% 29%
18 LAWLOR Lee - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
19 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
20 DEPAUW Devan - 1% 13% 40% 35% 11% 1%
21 CHU Brandon A. - 2% 18% 39% 31% 8% 1%
22 PHO Eric - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
23 FRENCH Timothy - - - 5% 25% 48% 21%
23 MCCHESNEY Colin J. 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
25 COX Matthew T. - - 3% 19% 42% 31% 6%
26 STONE Brian M. - - 1% 11% 36% 39% 13%
27 WORLEY Aren R. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
28 STOCK Jordan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
29 ALLEN Graham - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
30 PEI Suyang 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
31 CHIZ Max H. 1% 12% 37% 41% 8% -
32 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 26% 47% 23% 4% - -
33 LIOU Solomon - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
34 JERDEE trevor 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
35 MCNALLY Thomas J. - 5% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
36 MORET Eric N. 4% 21% 37% 29% 8% 1%
37 REED David 4% 24% 42% 26% 4% -
38 PAI Dong-Ying 8% 35% 42% 14% 1% -
39 EYMAN Hans - 3% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
40 KIM Jeff - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
41 MENDOZA Zandro - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
42 MIZRAHI Meir 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
43 CHRISTY Peter C. - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
44 CARTER Austin L. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
45 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben 4% 24% 42% 26% 4% -
46 EDGECOMB Michael J. - 3% 21% 48% 23% 4% -
47 CHEN Vincent 26% 45% 25% 5% - -
49 SOTO Michael 1% 14% 47% 30% 7% 1% -
50 TOMASI John 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
51 SAYLER Gordon 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
52 KENT IV David 14% 41% 35% 10% 1% -
53 GOLCU Doruk 15% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
54 RHEA Eric L. 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
55 ZHANG Qing 28% 50% 19% 3% - - -
56 KONG Qingjun 31% 50% 17% 2% - - -
57 VRUBEL Nathan 22% 56% 20% 2% - - -
57 RUBIN Josh 40% 46% 13% 1% - - -
59 SADLER Allen 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
60 SLOTER Lewis E. 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
61 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
62 CHI Kai-Hung 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
63 CHO Hans 35% 44% 18% 2% - -
64 VERWORN Jonathan 40% 44% 15% 2% - - -
65 GOODMAN Craig 43% 46% 10% 1% - - -
65 OLSON McGee 59% 37% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.