National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 1% 13% 87%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - - 11% 89%
3 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 CASALE Maria Roberta Agata - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
5 CAFASSO Natalya - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
6 LEE Sumin - - - 2% 14% 39% 45%
7 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 3% 15% 39% 43%
8 LEE Scarlett - 1% 8% 34% 53% 5%
9 HURLEY Courtney L. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
10 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
11 LEE REGINA - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
12 MACHULSKY Leehi - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
13 LIN Jessica Y. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
14 HANKINS Morgan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
15 CHOY LeeAnn - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 2%
16 HU Grace - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
17 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
18 KORFONTA Jolie - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
19 LISCUM Vivian 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
20 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
21 PRIHODKO Nina 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
22 SMUK Alexandra S. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
23 ZHANG Victoria R. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
23 PROFIS Liora - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
25 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - - 2% 22% 76%
26 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 32%
27 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
28 LEE Natasha - - 4% 21% 41% 30% 4%
29 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
30 YANG Alisa - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
31 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
32 SWENSON Nikita G. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
33 SHIV Avni - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
34 SEREGIN Katya 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% < 1%
35 SONG Angela - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
36 YU Nicole J. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13% 1%
37 WASHINGTON Isis - - - - 3% 25% 72%
38 HABEK Sophia 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
39 HAFEEZ Hiba 1% 11% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
40 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - 1% 10% 33% 41% 14% 1%
41 RUNIONS Emersyn - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
42 ZANGA Kaitlyn - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
43 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
44 LEE Michelle J. - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
44 NEMETH Katherine - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
46 SOBUS Yanka - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
47 WANG Zoe - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
48 KIM Zoe L. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
49 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
50 WANG Jessie 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
51 ELSTON Sophia 9% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
52 YAO Melinda 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
53 RICHARDSON Meredith 6% 26% 41% 24% 4% -
54 YIN Julia - - 1% 8% 33% 48% 10%
55 GUO Luxi 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 4%
56 AZMEH nour 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
57 YOUNG VIVIAN 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 3%
58 YOU Emily - 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
59 FENG Ge (Catherine) - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
60 PRESMAN Aerin 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
61 SPRINGER Sierra - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
62 XU Yvette 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
63 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
64 LEE Olivia 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
65 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 1% 11% 34% 38% 15% 1%
66 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
67 CHEN Lefu - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
68 WALTER Anna 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
69 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
70 STERR Isabella M. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
71 MEHROTRA Anya - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
72 LI Caroline 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
73 WAT Chok Weng - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
74 BUSH emma 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
75 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
76 KUNJAN Lena R. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
77 DESAI Meera P. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
78 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
79 LEE Gloria Y. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
80 BARG Daniella 1% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6% -
81 MCGLADE Jasmine 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
81 FRANGER Macy 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
83 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
84 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
85 LI Fei 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3% -
86 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
87 TOBY Natalia R. - - - < 1% 3% 26% 71%
87 YILMAZ Pinar 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
89 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 1%
90 CAMPBELL Eva 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5% -
91 PHUKAN Indra 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
92 LEE Claire 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
93 PECK Maia A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
94 SCHMITT Harper 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
94 ILYAS Ayah 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
96 XU Jessica 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
97 EDWARDS Auprell - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8% -
98 MA Sophie 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
99 HAUSHEER Kuncen 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
100 XU Serena 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
101 IYER Ishana 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
102 GOH Cayla 5% 24% 41% 26% 4% -
103 WITTER Catherine A. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
104 WANG Chloe 19% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
105 WU Michelle 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
106 KALGAONKAR Arohi 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
107 ZHU Serene M. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
108 SMUK Daria A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
108 BASRALIAN Azniv 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
108 SUN Zeyu (Cathy) 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
111 BECKMAN Ana - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
112 SUN Hanya 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% - -
113 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu - - < 1% 4% 17% 41% 38%
113 BEAVER Ava 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
115 PADHYE Tanishka - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
115 WEI Sherry 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
117 SAYAGUES Isabella 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
118 WATTANAKIT Anda 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
119 WU Jessica 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
119 QI Julieanne 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2% -
121 CARRIER Meredith 1% 6% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
122 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
123 FURMAN Maria 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
124 CHI Chelsea 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
125 XIONG Angelica 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
125 CAMAMA Tessa 5% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
127 SALISTRA Emilia 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
128 WANG Victoria 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
129 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
130 XIAO Nancy 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
131 HAFEEZ Hania 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
132 SHEFFIELD Skye 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
133 KUMAR Eva 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
134 MERRIMAN Rie 19% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
135 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - < 1% 2% 12% 37% 45% 4%
136 AI Amy 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
137 MUELLER Emma M. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
138 LEE Camilla 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
139 NGUYEN Tallulah - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
140 HEPLER Sarah 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
141 GANSER Nicole 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
142 LANE Leah 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
143 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
144 GORNOVSKY Abigail 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
145 KANASKAR Ila 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
146 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
147 SU Evelyn 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
148 KANG Yenna 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
149 YANG Hanting(Catherine) 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
150 ZHUANG Lauren 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
151 GEVA Eliana 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
152 MISHIMA Audrey 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
153 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -
154 WANG Trinity 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
155 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
157 LEWIS Rachel 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
158 YOU Isabel B. 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
159 SKILLMAN Natalie 38% 42% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.