National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 CASALE Maria Roberta Agata 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 1%
5 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
6 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
7 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
8 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 5%
9 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
10 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
11 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
12 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
13 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
14 HANKINS Morgan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
15 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
16 HU Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
17 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
18 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
19 LISCUM Vivian 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
20 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
21 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
22 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3%
23 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
23 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
25 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
26 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
27 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
28 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
29 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
30 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
31 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
32 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
33 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
34 SEREGIN Katya 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8% < 1%
35 SONG Angela 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
36 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13% 1%
37 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
38 HABEK Sophia 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
39 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
40 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15% 1%
41 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4%
42 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
43 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
44 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
44 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
46 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
47 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
48 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
49 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
50 WANG Jessie 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
51 ELSTON Sophia 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
52 YAO Melinda 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
53 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% -
54 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
55 GUO Luxi 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
56 AZMEH nour 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
57 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
58 YOU Emily 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
59 FENG Ge (Catherine) 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
60 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
61 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
62 XU Yvette 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
63 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
64 LEE Olivia 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
65 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 16% 1%
66 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
67 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
68 WALTER Anna 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
69 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 13% 1%
70 STERR Isabella M. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
71 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
72 LI Caroline 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
73 WAT Chok Weng 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 27% 3%
74 BUSH emma 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
75 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
76 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12%
77 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
78 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
79 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
80 BARG Daniella 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
81 MCGLADE Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
81 FRANGER Macy 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
83 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
84 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
85 LI Fei 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3% -
86 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
87 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
87 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
89 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 14% 1%
90 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
91 PHUKAN Indra 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
92 LEE Claire 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
93 PECK Maia A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
94 SCHMITT Harper 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
94 ILYAS Ayah 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
96 XU Jessica 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
97 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 9% -
98 MA Sophie 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
99 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
100 XU Serena 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
101 IYER Ishana 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% - -
102 GOH Cayla 100% 95% 71% 30% 4% -
103 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
104 WANG Chloe 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% - -
105 WU Michelle 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
106 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
107 ZHU Serene M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
108 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
108 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
108 SUN Zeyu (Cathy) 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
111 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
112 SUN Hanya 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
113 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
113 BEAVER Ava 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
115 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
115 WEI Sherry 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
117 SAYAGUES Isabella 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
118 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
119 WU Jessica 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
119 QI Julieanne 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2% -
121 CARRIER Meredith 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
122 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
123 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
124 CHI Chelsea 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
125 XIONG Angelica 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
125 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
127 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
128 WANG Victoria 100% 96% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
129 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
130 XIAO Nancy 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 3% -
131 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
132 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
133 KUMAR Eva 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
134 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% -
135 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 4%
136 AI Amy 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
137 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
138 LEE Camilla 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
139 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
140 HEPLER Sarah 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
141 GANSER Nicole 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
142 LANE Leah 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
143 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
144 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
145 KANASKAR Ila 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
146 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
147 SU Evelyn 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
148 KANG Yenna 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
149 YANG Hanting(Catherine) 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
150 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
151 GEVA Eliana 100% 93% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
152 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
153 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
154 WANG Trinity 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
155 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
157 LEWIS Rachel 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
158 YOU Isabel B. 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
159 SKILLMAN Natalie 100% 62% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.