National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - - 5% 29% 65%
2 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 4% 19% 41% 33% 4%
3 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
3 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
5 JIANG Owen - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
6 BAILEY William F. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
7 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
8 MIN Eric - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
9 AKYAMAC Bora - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
10 LEE Brendan - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
11 QIAN Jason H. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
12 LEWIS Paul D. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
13 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
14 RAJ Jay - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
15 ORLOV Dmitriy 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
16 KLOTZ Isaiah - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
17 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
18 LIN Michael - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
19 FENG Michael 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
20 LIN James G. - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
21 XU Andy P. - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
22 WONG Garrick G. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
23 TANG Alexander L. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
24 KRYLTSOV Michael - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
25 MARTIN Darius - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
26 LIN Xilong - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
27 TANG Albert - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
28 LEE Benjamin H. - - - 2% 21% 76%
29 LI Aaron - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
30 ZHANG Jacob - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
31 ZHONG Maxwell 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
32 SHENG Dalton - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
33 DIERKS Kian - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
33 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
35 LIU Ethan 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
36 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
37 PARK Sky - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
38 WONG Evan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
39 CHUANG Oscar - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
40 TANG August L. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
41 LEE Christopher T. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
42 DORE Davis 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
43 LU Nathan 12% 38% 35% 13% 2%
44 YAO Bradley - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
45 CHEN Ethan 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
46 GATRELL Mitchell E. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
47 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
48 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 2% 17% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
49 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
50 LIU William 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
50 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
52 MOORE Jeremy S. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
53 BAE Eugene - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
54 WEISS Mateo 32% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
55 UZGIRIS Kovas 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
56 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 5%
56 WILKINS Mateo 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
58 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
59 JOSEPH Willem - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
60 SONG Noel - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
61 ASHIDA Tomoaki 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
62 GHEDINI Luca - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
63 JIMENEZ Naveen 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
64 PINCHENG Yao 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
65 LU Kevin - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
66 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
67 ROZALSKI Eli - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
68 CHENG Ethan - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
69 LEE Jonah 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
70 ARATA Connor 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 2% -
71 ZHEN Ethan - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
72 YOON Junhyeok - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
73 WONG Jacob W. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
74 LIM Charlie 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
75 DAVIDSON Elliot 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
75 KAPOOR Aayan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
75 BOESKIN Nolan 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
78 SHAGIDANYAN German - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
79 MCISAAC Finn - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
80 LI Richard 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
81 QIU Zhaocheng - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
82 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
83 CHOI Ethan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
84 LIPPMAN Sam - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
85 KIM Jonah 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
86 KUE Temujin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
87 KIM Brian - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
88 MILLER Dillon 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
89 ANDRIC Borna 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
90 SMOLICH Marat 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
91 PARRISH Evan - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
92 FINNEY Lorenz 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
93 GUTIERREZ Nick A. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
94 MILLER Jordan - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
94 STRINGER David 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
96 WANG Rory - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
97 QUINONES Diego A. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
97 SINHA Verdhaan 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
99 PALMA Nathan Anthony 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
100 ZAIDI Adil 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
101 EMENHEISER Conrad 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
102 LYNCH Owen C. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
103 TAN Xinlai 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
104 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
105 FINLEY Dylan - 1% 9% 26% 38% 22% 4%
105 MAVANI Krishna 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
107 STRAYER Andrew 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% 1%
108 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
109 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
110 BLACK Zachary 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
111 ZHENG Marcus 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
112 CLARK Benjamin 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
113 KIM Jackson 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
114 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
115 FLYNT Hayden 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
116 PRUT Anton 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
117 BERSCHEID Arthur 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
118 SRINIVASAN Vedant 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
119 CHANG Nathan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
120 SHANNON Jack 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
121 DEEB Adam - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
122 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
122 YAP Nathan 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
124 MCKEE Calvin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
125 BAI Brian 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
126 CHAN Matthew 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
127 ZENG Rick 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
128 EDISON Ansel 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
129 GRIEB Oliver 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
130 MILLER Andrew 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
131 BARRETT Austin 4% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
132 RAUTUREAU Arthur 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
133 SENANI Arjun 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
134 SUN Henry 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
135 YUE Jackson 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
136 ZHAO Brian 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
136 GLOVER George 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
138 HICKEY Connor 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
139 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
140 MCKINLEY Luke 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
141 GNEUHS Sam 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
142 RIPA Joseph K. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
143 SURESH Rohan 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
144 XU Dinghui Ryan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
145 LI Samuel 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
146 CHEZ Nolan 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
147 SHIN Noah 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
148 MOE Annan 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
149 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - < 1% 2% 10% 30% 40% 17%
150 HARROCH Faustin 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
151 KENNEDY christo 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
151 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
153 FINDLER Zachary 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
154 WU Lucas 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
155 NOWAK Joseph A. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
155 HOLLIS Sean 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
157 VANOYEN Dominick 8% 27% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
158 YOU Martin 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
159 MASSIMINO Andrew 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
160 ZHAO Adam 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
161 FANG Haoyu 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
162 PINKERTON Joseph H. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
163 ARANA Massimo 32% 43% 21% 4% -
164 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
165 JOHNSON Chance 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
166 KETTELLE John 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
167 HAMILTON Brock B. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
168 PECK Quinn 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
169 MARISI Gabriel 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
170 TOEWS Jackson 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
170 ZHANG GAVIN J 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
172 LEE Jayden J. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
173 ABRAMKIN Tim 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
174 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
175 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
176 DAVIS Benjamin 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.