National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 4%
3 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
3 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
5 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
6 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
7 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
8 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
9 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
10 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
11 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
12 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
13 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
14 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
15 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
16 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
17 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 45% 13%
18 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
19 FENG Michael 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
20 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
21 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
22 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
23 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
24 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
25 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
26 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
27 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
28 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
29 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
30 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
31 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
32 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
33 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
33 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
35 LIU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
36 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
37 PARK Sky 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
38 WONG Evan 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
39 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
40 TANG August L. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
41 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 2%
42 DORE Davis 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
43 LU Nathan 100% 88% 50% 15% 2%
44 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
45 CHEN Ethan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
46 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 23% 3%
47 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
48 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
49 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
50 LIU William 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
50 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
52 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
53 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
54 WEISS Mateo 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
55 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
56 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
56 WILKINS Mateo 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
58 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
59 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
60 SONG Noel 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
61 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3% -
62 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
63 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
64 PINCHENG Yao 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
65 LU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
66 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
67 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
68 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
69 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
70 ARATA Connor 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
71 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
72 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
73 WONG Jacob W. 100% 93% 69% 34% 11% 2% -
74 LIM Charlie 100% 97% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
75 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
75 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
75 BOESKIN Nolan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
78 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
79 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
80 LI Richard 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
81 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
82 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
83 CHOI Ethan 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
84 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
85 KIM Jonah 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
86 KUE Temujin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
87 KIM Brian 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
88 MILLER Dillon 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
89 ANDRIC Borna 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
90 SMOLICH Marat 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
91 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
92 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
93 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
94 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 14% 1%
94 STRINGER David 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
96 WANG Rory 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
97 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
97 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
99 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
100 ZAIDI Adil 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
101 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
102 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
103 TAN Xinlai 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
104 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
105 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
105 MAVANI Krishna 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
107 STRAYER Andrew 100% 98% 85% 51% 14% 1%
108 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
109 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
110 BLACK Zachary 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% -
111 ZHENG Marcus 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
112 CLARK Benjamin 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
113 KIM Jackson 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
114 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
115 FLYNT Hayden 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
116 PRUT Anton 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
117 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
118 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
119 CHANG Nathan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
120 SHANNON Jack 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
121 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
122 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
122 YAP Nathan 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 9% 1%
124 MCKEE Calvin 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
125 BAI Brian 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
126 CHAN Matthew 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
127 ZENG Rick 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
128 EDISON Ansel 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
129 GRIEB Oliver 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
130 MILLER Andrew 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
131 BARRETT Austin 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
132 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
133 SENANI Arjun 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
134 SUN Henry 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
135 YUE Jackson 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
136 ZHAO Brian 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
136 GLOVER George 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
138 HICKEY Connor 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
139 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
140 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
141 GNEUHS Sam 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
142 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
143 SURESH Rohan 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
144 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
145 LI Samuel 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
146 CHEZ Nolan 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
147 SHIN Noah 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
148 MOE Annan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
149 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
150 HARROCH Faustin 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
151 KENNEDY christo 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
151 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
153 FINDLER Zachary 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
154 WU Lucas 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
155 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
155 HOLLIS Sean 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
157 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
158 YOU Martin 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
159 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
160 ZHAO Adam 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
161 FANG Haoyu 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
162 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
163 ARANA Massimo 100% 68% 25% 4% -
164 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
165 JOHNSON Chance 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
166 KETTELLE John 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
167 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
168 PECK Quinn 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
169 MARISI Gabriel 100% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
170 TOEWS Jackson 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
170 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
172 LEE Jayden J. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
173 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
174 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
175 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
176 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.