National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Saber

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DANG Kelia - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
2 MANN Sophia J. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 DRAGON Rainer - - - 1% 7% 39% 53%
3 DAVIS Jayna M. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
5 KHAN Alissa - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
6 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
7 LIU Sydney - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
8 XIAO Cindy 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
9 LIM Jaslene - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
10 KONDEV Elizabeth - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
11 ONG Lauren 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
12 LO Chloe - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
13 NGUYEN Siena - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
14 MUNGUIA Mila - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
15 TENG Christine Renmei 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
16 SPEARS Mya B - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
17 LIU kai yin aria - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
18 YUEN Nicole - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
19 MACKAY Katherine - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
20 SINGER Ellery 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
21 CHAVAN Arya 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
22 HAMMERSTROM Aria - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
23 XU Emily T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
24 CHEN Elaine - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
25 YAO Rainie 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
25 WANG Jiayi 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
27 GOLDIN Nina - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
28 DANTULURI Shalini 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
29 LI Alexis - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
30 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
31 TONG Laurie 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
32 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
33 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% < 1% -
34 YANG Lea - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
35 KIM Satie - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
36 HUA Catherine W. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
37 WILSON Eva 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
38 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
39 STAPLETON Lindsay K. - - - 5% 25% 50% 20%
40 WALLER London 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
41 SCOTT Eve - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
42 XIE Nora - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
43 GOLOVITSER Maya - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
44 MATSUO Kei - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
44 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
46 SCHOON REBECCA 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
47 BUHAY Kirsten M. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
48 JEFFORDS Sophia 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
49 ASHTIANI Shaya 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
50 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
50 BARROSO Isabela - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
52 FOSS Persephone 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
53 ISBERG Natalie - 2% 15% 36% 36% 10% 1%
54 KANG Soeun 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
55 TAN Adelyn - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
56 COLTER Aurora - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
57 HU Michelle - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
58 PRESANTH Nandana 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
59 ZHAN Sophie 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
60 MOON Claire 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
61 LITTLE Avery - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
62 COLBY Mercer 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
63 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
64 SHEARER Alena 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
65 CHERON Helene 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
66 DEHON Inès 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
67 YE Madeleine 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
68 HUANG Neila 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
69 DUDNICK Morgan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
69 REAVIS Isabel 2% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
71 MARTURANO Bridget H. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
72 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
73 KU Chloe 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
74 IREGUI Sofia 12% 36% 37% 13% 2% - -
75 JOHNSON Neema 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
76 KHOST Maeve 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
77 ZHAI AMY 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
78 PETTIT Sara M. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
79 WONG Natalie 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% -
80 NAYAK Antara 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
81 FAN Alexandria - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
82 PABIAN Emilia - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
83 CHERUKURI Tanvi 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
84 TISSONE Veronica 5% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
85 JUDE Simona 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
86 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
87 XU Kaylyn 4% 23% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
88 YANG Caroline 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
89 SADANI Jyotika 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
90 NAIR Supriya - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
91 DEMARIA Lauren 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
92 GENTILE Vittoria 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
93 DOLEV Rony 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
94 KRASOWITZ Lucy 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
95 LEE Kaitlin 18% 40% 31% 10% 2% -
96 CHI Claire 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
97 MYAT Chloe 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
98 RANJAN Diya 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
99 MUELLER Amelia D. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
100 YOO Audrey 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
101 PROBASCO Leila 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
102 BARCZAY Sara E. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
103 BARBORIAK Emily 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
104 JACHYMIAK Emilia 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
105 LU Angela 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
106 KONZEN Iris 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
106 KAZA Ananya 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.