National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Saber

Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
3 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
3 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
5 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
6 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
7 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
8 XIAO Cindy 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
9 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
10 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 ONG Lauren 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
12 LO Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
13 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
14 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
15 TENG Christine Renmei 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
16 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
17 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
18 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
19 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 3%
20 SINGER Ellery 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
21 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
22 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
23 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
24 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
25 YAO Rainie 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
25 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
27 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
28 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
29 LI Alexis 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
30 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
31 TONG Laurie 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
32 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
33 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% < 1% -
34 YANG Lea 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
35 KIM Satie 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
36 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
37 WILSON Eva 100% 99% 85% 51% 15% 2% -
38 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
39 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 20%
40 WALLER London 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
41 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
42 XIE Nora 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
43 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
44 MATSUO Kei 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
44 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
46 SCHOON REBECCA 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
47 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
48 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
49 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
50 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
50 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
52 FOSS Persephone 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
53 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11% 1%
54 KANG Soeun 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
55 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
56 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
57 HU Michelle 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 3%
58 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
59 ZHAN Sophie 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
60 MOON Claire 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
61 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
62 COLBY Mercer 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
63 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
64 SHEARER Alena 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
65 CHERON Helene 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
66 DEHON Inès 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
67 YE Madeleine 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
68 HUANG Neila 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
69 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
69 REAVIS Isabel 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
71 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
72 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
73 KU Chloe 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
74 IREGUI Sofia 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
75 JOHNSON Neema 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
76 KHOST Maeve 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
77 ZHAI AMY 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
78 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
79 WONG Natalie 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
80 NAYAK Antara 100% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
81 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
82 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
83 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 76% 33% 6% 1% - -
84 TISSONE Veronica 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
85 JUDE Simona 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
86 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
87 XU Kaylyn 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
88 YANG Caroline 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
89 SADANI Jyotika 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
90 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
91 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
92 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
93 DOLEV Rony 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
94 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
95 LEE Kaitlin 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
96 CHI Claire 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
97 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
98 RANJAN Diya 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1% -
99 MUELLER Amelia D. 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
100 YOO Audrey 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
101 PROBASCO Leila 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
102 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
103 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
104 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
105 LU Angela 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
106 KONZEN Iris 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
106 KAZA Ananya 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.