National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Saber

Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ONG Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
2 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
3 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
3 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
5 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
6 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
7 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
8 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
9 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
10 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
11 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
12 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
13 YE Madeleine 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
14 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
15 REAVIS Isabel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
16 MCMAHON Kylin S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
17 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
18 BARNES Sarah 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
19 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
20 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
21 CHERON Helene 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
22 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 5%
23 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 99% 93% 71% 39% 12% 2%
24 SADANI Jyotika 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
25 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
26 BAINS Nandini 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5%
27 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
28 MOON Claire 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
29 SUN Angela 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
30 MING Emma 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
31 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
32 ALDORT Amanda 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
33 KU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
34 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
34 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
36 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
37 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
38 KANG Soeun 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
39 HAN Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
40 YOO Audrey 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
41 CLIFTON Nicole R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
42 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
43 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
44 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
45 XU Kaylyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
46 KOHLBERGER Noelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
47 GUO Daisy 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
48 LU Angela 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
49 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
50 HILD Anya 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
51 POLSTON Ella 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
52 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
52 KAZA Ananya 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
54 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
55 LAGUNA Genevieve 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 10% 1%
56 WONG Cerise 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
57 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
58 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
59 SNOAD Indy 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
60 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
61 WITEK Isabelle 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1%
62 PAINE Lily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
63 SAMPATH Medha 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 3% -
64 LADY Jamie 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% - -
65 CHEN Kasey 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
66 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
67 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
68 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
69 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 4% -
70 COOVADIA Malina 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
71 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
72 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
73 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
74 IREGUI Sofia 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2%
75 LIM Eunice 100% 95% 71% 35% 11% 2% -
76 HUSS Miriam 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
77 PHAN Genevieve 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
78 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
79 ERPELDING Emily 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
80 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
81 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
82 STONE Coral 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
83 KONZEN Iris 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
84 HARRISON Allie 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
85 SOBERY Lillian 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
86 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
87 PATIL Jyothi 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
88 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 10% 1%
89 SEELIG Samantha 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
90 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
90 TAMARO Allie 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
92 SCHOON REBECCA 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
93 KIM Alice 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
94 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
95 FORTNER Violet 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
96 JAJRA Avni 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
97 XIAO Sophia 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
98 WAY Samantha 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
99 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
100 KAZA Aditi 100% 65% 23% 5% - -
101 CHIU Philippa 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
102 ZHANG Erica 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
103 YAO Reeva 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
104 MARTIN Audrey 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
104 HENRY Erin 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
106 LOTURCO Akiko 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
107 MUKHERJEE Moupriya 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
108 JUDE Simona 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
109 JAGROO Mary 100% 98% 75% 37% 11% 2% -
110 XIE Shirley 100% 96% 65% 24% 5% - -
111 WU Chloe 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
112 MADDEN Chloe 100% 33% 5% - - - -
113 CARNES Meghan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
114 MILLER Sophia 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
115 REESE Rebecca M. 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
116 WOLVERTON Emma 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
117 CAI Veronica 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
118 SETHRE Traci 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
118 GAMEZ Jennifer 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
120 PERRY Madelyn 100% 72% 26% 5% - -
121 WELCH Greta 100% 27% 3% - - - -
121 LYNCH Vivian 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
123 TERP Lucy 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
123 MALVESTUTO Prudence 100% 41% 9% 1% - - -
123 MOROAICA Nsheka 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
126 HICKS Corlis 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
126 HOAGLAND Simone 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
126 FAGAN Cara 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
129 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 100% 20% 1% - - - -
130 RAJAGOPALAN Dhanya 100% 88% 50% 17% 3% - -
131 ALEXANDER Leigh 100% 99% 86% 43% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.