National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Saber

Monday, July 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XUE Leo 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
2 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
3 COBIAN Richard 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
5 LEE Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
6 TAN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
7 LEVY Jack 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
8 CRAIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
9 WONG Mac 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
10 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
11 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
12 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
13 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
14 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
15 WANG HongXi 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
16 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
17 VO Landon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
18 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
19 WANG Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
20 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
20 CHEN Kevin 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
22 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
23 SEPUCHA Sam 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
24 TURNER Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 VOSPER James 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
26 IYER Neil 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
27 GONG Gavin 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
28 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
29 HENRY Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
30 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
31 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
32 MCMAHON Chris J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
33 LEONARDI Pierce C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 BERGER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
35 BEVANS Auden 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
36 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
37 KWON Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
38 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
39 LIU Yijin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
40 BOSITA Brennan 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
41 SMITH Etienne 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% < 1% -
42 CHIEN Nolan 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
43 AUTREY Adrien 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
44 ZHENG Lucas 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
45 GOGNA Rehan 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
46 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
47 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
48 FERRIS JR. Michael 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
49 PARKILA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
50 WOLMART Zander 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
51 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
52 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
53 OBEID Zaky 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
54 WONG Reagan 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
55 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
56 JHAVERI Rajan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
57 FABRE Assael 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
58 HUANG Anthony 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
59 HAYES David 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
60 KIM Yusung 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
61 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
62 NARUT Oscar 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
63 CHEN Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
64 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
65 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
66 LIU Guanyu 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
67 WAGNER Elijah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
68 SNIGAROFF Robert 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
69 BAHK Caleb 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
70 KANIA Alexander 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2%
71 KETT Richard 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
72 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
73 ZAY Elijah 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
74 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
75 CORDIE David R. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
76 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
77 KENNEDY Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
78 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
79 BARROWS Hunter 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
79 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
81 MITCHELL Eric A. 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
82 TENG Lucas 100% 98% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
83 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
83 MCGAFFEY Rowan 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
85 KAMAL Aidan 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
86 COPP Max 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
87 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
88 GARDNER David 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
89 SMITH Noah 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1%
90 NAFTALI Ori 100% 84% 47% 14% 2%
91 CONG Mason 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
92 KANE Kiran 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
93 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
94 HAMMOND Jonathon 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
95 KIM David 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
96 MEADE Liam R. 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
96 NELSON Jake 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
98 ROSENFRISK Andrew 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
99 MUTYALA Kavin 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
99 RAVOOR Suvir 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
101 JOHNSON Colin 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
102 DREWES James 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
103 SUN Eon 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
104 PIPKE Garrett 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
105 RAMANI Ari 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
105 ZHANG Richard 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
107 BOWLES Caden 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
108 TANG Andrew 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
109 HOUSER Johnathan 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
110 ELLER Jeremiah 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
111 RAVOOR Sahas 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
112 HENDERSON Jack 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
113 KONDOGI Saivarun 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
114 WOODE Charles (CJ) 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
115 EZZELL Alexander 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% -
116 NELKA Brenden 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
117 LIN Patrick 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
118 MBERIA Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
119 MAHESH Advik 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
120 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
120 GUZIEC Robert 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
122 VU Mark 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
123 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
124 LEE Brandon 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
125 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
126 CLARK Brandon 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
127 STONE Brad 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
128 GABEL Hunter 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
129 BODMER Erik 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
130 YU Joshua 100% 16% 1% - - -
131 CURTIS Kevin 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
132 OXIE Matthew 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
132 YEAZEL Colin 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
135 MARTIN Quincy 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
136 PETERMEIER Copper 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 8% 1%
136 VU Matthew 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
138 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1%
139 RHEA Evan 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
140 SHENOY Ashwin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
141 LOTURCO Greg 100% 69% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.