National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, July 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 NEMORIN Rei - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 GONG Joy - - - - 3% 24% 72%
3 YU Skylar - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
5 CHOI Charlotte - - - - 3% 27% 70%
6 LAI Karen - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
7 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN - 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
8 HWANG Sophie - 1% 9% 33% 43% 15%
9 CHAU Zoey - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
10 KIM Saeren - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
11 ZHANG Ashley - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
12 ZHAO Selena - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
13 FERRIS Madeline - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
14 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol - - 5% 23% 41% 28% 2%
15 WANG Tina - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
16 KANIA Brigitte - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
17 XU Elaine - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
18 LONG Jessie - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
19 SUNG Olivia - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
20 REN Katherine - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
21 CHOWDHERY Myra - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
22 DUFF Caitlin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
23 MULLER Inara - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
24 PARK Chloe - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
25 LIN Rachel 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
26 YANG Felicia - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
27 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - 4% 30% 66%
28 NARUT Zoe - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
29 HU Emily 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
30 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
31 SARATH Sana 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
32 KONTOS Demitra 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
33 ROSTHOLDER Hannah - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
34 LAUREYNS Ainsley - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
34 CLAIANU Adriana - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
36 HEATH Isabella - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
37 NGUYEN Summer - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
38 CHENG Anna - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 5%
39 LONG Chloe - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
40 MAK Jayden - - 5% 27% 53% 14%
41 MAJEWSKA Maria - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
42 DUDNICK Caitlin 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
43 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
44 CAI Joanna 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
45 SHI Maxine - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
45 ZHU Avril - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
47 CORD Sophia - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 5%
47 ILICHEVA Adriana 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
49 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
50 DANIELS Jordanna - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
51 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14% 1%
52 KETT alexis 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
53 YOUNG Sienna - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
54 KATZ Emma - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
55 MEADE Kaia G. 5% 24% 41% 25% 4% -
56 YAP Anna 4% 22% 41% 28% 5% -
57 SANTIAGO Hannah 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
58 YU Stella - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
59 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
60 SUTHERLAND Sadie 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
61 ZOFFEL Gabriela - 1% 10% 30% 39% 17% 1%
62 HU Ashley - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
63 CAO Kim - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
64 MENON Maya - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
65 OEI Allyson 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% < 1%
66 BAEK Aileen 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
67 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 9%
68 CHEN Cindy - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
69 MERRITT Annabelle - 3% 14% 32% 35% 16% 1%
70 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
71 TABANCAY Ava 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
72 SMITH Genevieve 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
73 WANG Keira 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
74 PARK Gabriella 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
75 GUO YUKI 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
76 KABILING Anika Von Marie - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
77 DEMRY Kylee 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
78 HU Heidi - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
79 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
80 GAO Olivia 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
81 OLESKY Ellie 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
82 ZHENG Winona - 1% 5% 19% 38% 31% 6%
83 BRIMMER Bella 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
83 XU Ella 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
85 WINSLOW Zaria 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
86 PASSMAN Caroline 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
87 ARORA Rhiya 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
87 GUERVILLE Angelique 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
89 POWERS Waverly 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
89 SHARMA Anika 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
91 LAMTAN Trinity 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
92 HUANG Megan 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
93 TAN Angela 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
94 LEE Elise 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1%
95 ZHANG Audrey - 5% 28% 43% 21% 3%
96 FREY Elise 1% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2%
97 RADELL Zoe 9% 50% 33% 8% 1% -
98 FAN Tina - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 3%
99 ESTEVES ZOE 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
100 QIU Abigail - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
100 KONDE Anika 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
102 KARAVAS Lucy 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
103 CHANG Kylie - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
104 WITWER Vivienne 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
105 BURGESS Brees - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
105 CANARAN Daphne M. 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
107 LEE Jadyn 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
108 ZHOU Carolyn 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
109 CHACKO Anne 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
110 BREWSTER Ayaki 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
111 YU Sydney 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
112 MACHIRAJU Ishita 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
113 BABB Virginia 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
114 CHEN Chloe 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
115 TOPALOV Julia 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
116 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Nyssa 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
117 MCCABE Ashley 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
118 WEI Levana 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
119 BACKES Anastasia 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
119 WILLER Anna 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
119 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
122 ONG Katherine 4% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
122 ARANGO Ivanna 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
124 MCCLANAHAN Camille 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
125 JOHNSTON Sabrina 21% 42% 29% 7% 1% -
126 LIAO Audrey 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
127 CONG Catherine 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
128 FISCHER Luna 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
129 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
130 CHANG Grace 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
131 VARAH Alaia - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
132 ARVIND Heera 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
133 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
133 ATA Emily 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
135 ARGUELLO Camilla 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
135 NARRELL Olive 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
137 ZHANG Olivia 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
137 YANG Renee 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
139 ONO Lisa 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
140 VU Claire 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
141 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
142 LIU Anya 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
142 LI Bernadette 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
145 AHMED Jennah 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
145 WU Jing 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
147 DU Jessica 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
148 YAO Elizabeth 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
149 HOPKINS McKenzie 74% 24% 2% - - -
150 LEE Sophia 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
151 LI Gloria 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
152 TSIPORUKHA Arie < 1% 4% 19% 36% 31% 10% 1%
153 LAU Angela 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
153 PARRA Luciana 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
153 LIU Michelle 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
153 PORTNOY Elizabeth 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
157 SHTEYMAN Simone 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
158 MARTINSON Corinne 69% 27% 4% - - -
159 SEELMAN Alexa 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
160 POTDAR Harper 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
160 RIFKIN Talia 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
162 WANG ZOE 65% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.