National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, July 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
6 LAI Karen 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
8 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 15%
9 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
10 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
11 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
12 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
13 FERRIS Madeline 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
14 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 30% 2%
15 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
16 KANIA Brigitte 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
17 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
18 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
19 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
20 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
21 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
22 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
23 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
24 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
25 LIN Rachel 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
26 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
27 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
28 NARUT Zoe 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
29 HU Emily 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
30 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
31 SARATH Sana 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
32 KONTOS Demitra 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
33 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 13%
34 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
34 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
36 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
37 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
38 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 5%
39 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
40 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 14%
41 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
42 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
43 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
44 CAI Joanna 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
45 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
47 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
47 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
49 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
50 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
51 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
52 KETT alexis 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
53 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
54 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
55 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
56 YAP Anna 100% 96% 74% 33% 5% -
57 SANTIAGO Hannah 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
58 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
59 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
60 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
61 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 1%
62 HU Ashley 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
63 CAO Kim 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
64 MENON Maya 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
65 OEI Allyson 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% < 1%
66 BAEK Aileen 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
67 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
68 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
69 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
70 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
71 TABANCAY Ava 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
72 SMITH Genevieve 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
73 WANG Keira 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
74 PARK Gabriella 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
75 GUO YUKI 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
76 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
77 DEMRY Kylee 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
78 HU Heidi 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
79 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
80 GAO Olivia 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
81 OLESKY Ellie 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
82 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
83 BRIMMER Bella 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
83 XU Ella 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
85 WINSLOW Zaria 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
86 PASSMAN Caroline 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
87 ARORA Rhiya 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
87 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
89 POWERS Waverly 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
89 SHARMA Anika 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
91 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
92 HUANG Megan 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
93 TAN Angela 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
94 LEE Elise 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
95 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 95% 67% 24% 3%
96 FREY Elise 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2%
97 RADELL Zoe 100% 91% 41% 8% 1% -
98 FAN Tina 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 21% 3%
99 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
100 QIU Abigail 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
100 KONDE Anika 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
102 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
103 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
104 WITWER Vivienne 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
105 BURGESS Brees 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
105 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
107 LEE Jadyn 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
108 ZHOU Carolyn 100% 97% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
109 CHACKO Anne 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
110 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
111 YU Sydney 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
112 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
113 BABB Virginia 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
114 CHEN Chloe 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
115 TOPALOV Julia 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
116 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Nyssa 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
117 MCCABE Ashley 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
118 WEI Levana 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
119 BACKES Anastasia 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
119 WILLER Anna 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
119 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
122 ONG Katherine 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% - -
122 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
124 MCCLANAHAN Camille 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
125 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
126 LIAO Audrey 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
127 CONG Catherine 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
128 FISCHER Luna 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
129 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
130 CHANG Grace 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
131 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
132 ARVIND Heera 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
133 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
133 ATA Emily 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
135 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
135 NARRELL Olive 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
137 ZHANG Olivia 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
137 YANG Renee 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
139 ONO Lisa 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
140 VU Claire 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
141 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
142 LIU Anya 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
142 LI Bernadette 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
145 AHMED Jennah 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
145 WU Jing 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
147 DU Jessica 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
148 YAO Elizabeth 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
149 HOPKINS McKenzie 100% 26% 2% - - -
150 LEE Sophia 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
151 LI Gloria 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
152 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
153 LAU Angela 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
153 PARRA Luciana 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
153 LIU Michelle 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
153 PORTNOY Elizabeth 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
157 SHTEYMAN Simone 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
158 MARTINSON Corinne 100% 31% 4% - - -
159 SEELMAN Alexa 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
160 POTDAR Harper 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
160 RIFKIN Talia 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
162 WANG ZOE 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.