Wanglei Fencing Epee Youth & Senior Summer Challenge

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Wanglei International Fencing Club - Plainsboro, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YU Livia 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
2 TSIEN Richard 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
3 CHEN Aiden 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
3 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
5 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 39%
5 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
7 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
8 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
9 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
10 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 98% 79% 36% 3% -
11 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 2%
12 HAN Emma 100% 99% 88% 48% 11% 1%
13 ZHU Brady 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
14 LEE Zoe 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
15 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
16 AGUIAR Deven 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
17 CHI Evelyn 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
18 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.