Nutmeg State Games

E & Under Men's Foil

Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIBBETTS Justin - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 18%
2 SAMMATARO Corey - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
3 HARRIS Noah - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
3 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
5 GRANADOS Luis - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
6 ARSHAD Mohsin - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
7 SMITH Colin 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
8 HOWARD Fox - 3% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2%
9 CANEDO James - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
10 BRAWN Gavin 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 4%
11 CARCIERI Liam 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
12 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier - 3% 18% 40% 32% 8%
13 BOURNE Zane 25% 46% 24% 5% - -
14 WONG Jasper 18% 47% 28% 7% 1% - -
15 PRZYBOROWSKI Thomas 2% 16% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
16 MACCIOLI Daniel 12% 37% 38% 12% 1% -
17 DEXTER Zebulon 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
18 JOHNSON Matthew 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
19 LAROCCO Patrick 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.