Nutmeg State Games

E & Under Men's Foil

Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
2 SAMMATARO Corey 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
3 HARRIS Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
3 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
5 GRANADOS Luis 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
6 ARSHAD Mohsin 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
7 SMITH Colin 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
8 HOWARD Fox 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 2%
9 CANEDO James 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
10 BRAWN Gavin 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 4%
11 CARCIERI Liam 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
12 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
13 BOURNE Zane 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
14 WONG Jasper 100% 82% 35% 8% 1% - -
15 PRZYBOROWSKI Thomas 100% 98% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
16 MACCIOLI Daniel 100% 88% 51% 13% 1% -
17 DEXTER Zebulon 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
18 JOHNSON Matthew 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
19 LAROCCO Patrick 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.