Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, July 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
2 LIU Jeremiah 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
3 PALLADINO Ben 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
3 LIU Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
5 WU Jerry 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% -
6 BELLIVEAU Raven 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
7 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 96% 67% 24% 4% -
8 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 82% 34% 6% - -
9 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
10 FRY Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
11 ZELIN Sam 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
12 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3%
13 CHOI Paul 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
14 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
15 BELLIVEAU Emmett 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6%
16 REELS Eric 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
17 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
18 ROUSE Joseph 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
19 CARPENTER Touma 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
20 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
21 BUCHAS Jamie 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
22 CROTTY James 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
23 COLÓN Atum 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
24 HE Yurui 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
25 ENGLISH William 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 4%
26 KOKENGE Chad 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
26 LIU Kun 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
28 TARDIFF Seth 100% 27% 3% - - -
28 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
30 AU Joshua 100% 44% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.