The Duelist Open 24

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 10, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Belleville High School - Belleville, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
3 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
5 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 10%
7 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
8 LEE Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
9 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
10 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 98% 77% 31% 4%
11 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
12 COPELAND Nigel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 13%
13 WU Benjamin (Ben) 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
14 FERENCZ Alexander J. 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
15 XIONG Isabel 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
16 EDWARDS Connor 100% 99% 91% 57% 17% 2%
17 CHO Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
18 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
19 MCGRATH Polina S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
20 MAVANI Krishna 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
21 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
22 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 37% 5%
23 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
24 STONE Sydney 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
25 COSSROW Alex 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5% -
26 YEE Michael 100% 100% 96% 57% 15% 1%
27 STORER Alexander 100% 99% 83% 41% 8% 1%
28 KOMEYA Ohna 100% 74% 29% 4% - - -
29 BELL Scott 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
30 ALABI Adriel 100% 69% 20% 2% - - -
31 HUANG Natalie 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% - -
32 CHENG Emily 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
33 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
34 ATKINSON Josiah 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 14% 1%
35 AN Jasmine N. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
36 SIMONS Henry 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
37 METZ Evan 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
38 DRIVER Atticus 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
39 DENG Albert 100% 52% 9% 1% - -
40 FLOYD John 100% 5% - - - -
41 ALABI Azryl 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
42 ADAM Cristian 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
43 FOLIO Isabella 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
44 KYLMAN Andrew 100% 98% 18% 1% - -
45 HENSEL Cameron 100% 98% 66% 16% 1% - -
46 CHENG Nathan 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
47 HENSEL Mark 100% 77% 26% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.