TFC August Fence-a-thon

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Aiden - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
2 SUN Lucas 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
3 PAN Samantha - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 KHANAL Sarah 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
5 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
6 SHENOY Neil - - 1% 15% 47% 37%
7 LIN Dylan 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
8 WANG Theodore - 1% 8% 36% 41% 14%
9 KIM Rylie - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
10 LAM Dorris Yandor - 1% 9% 35% 43% 12%
11 SITU Baiqin - 1% 10% 39% 46% 5%
12 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
13 LAI Olivia - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
14 LI Lief - 1% 7% 29% 49% 15%
15 CREMEL Remi - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
16 SUN Suri 6% 34% 48% 12% 1% -
17 ZHU Claire 3% 21% 39% 29% 7% 1%
18 GOWDA Adisha - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
19 HONDA Emi 3% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
20 SHU Kayla 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% -
21 JOESUF Thea 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
22 KUO Liang-Jun 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
23 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
24 CHEN Chloe 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
25 DONG Nancy 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
26 YANG Claire 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
27 WANG Ian 5% 29% 40% 22% 5% -
28 HO Cameron 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
29 WONG Sebastian 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -
30 JUSON Julianne Lauren 15% 47% 32% 6% - -
31 CHUNG Charlotte 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
32 LUO Derren 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
33 TUNG Alison 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
34 CHEN Celina 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
35 HAVERTY Joshua 11% 39% 40% 10% 1% -
36 DAI Wenyuan < 1% 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.