TFC August Fence-a-thon

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
2 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
3 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 KHANAL Sarah 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
5 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
6 SHENOY Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 37%
7 LIN Dylan 100% 98% 79% 37% 9% 1%
8 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 14%
9 KIM Rylie 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
10 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 12%
11 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 5%
12 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
13 LAI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
14 LI Lief 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 15%
15 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
16 SUN Suri 100% 94% 60% 12% 1% -
17 ZHU Claire 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
18 GOWDA Adisha 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
19 HONDA Emi 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
20 SHU Kayla 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
21 JOESUF Thea 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
22 KUO Liang-Jun 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
23 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
24 CHEN Chloe 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
25 DONG Nancy 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
26 YANG Claire 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
27 WANG Ian 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
28 HO Cameron 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
29 WONG Sebastian 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
30 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 85% 38% 6% - -
31 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
32 LUO Derren 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
33 TUNG Alison 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
34 CHEN Celina 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
35 HAVERTY Joshua 100% 89% 50% 11% 1% -
36 DAI Wenyuan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.