Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WESER Veronica U. - - - - 5% 37% 57%
2 WILLIAMSON Beatrix - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
3 YOUN Kylie - 4% 15% 29% 32% 17% 3%
3 XU Mulan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
5 WANG Sophie Y. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 MARCHANT Morgan - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20%
7 LAW Mila 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
8 BRODEUR Andrea - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
9 BARMAN Willa - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
10 BOWIE Charlotta - - - 3% 21% 55% 21%
11 ZUCKER Emily A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
12 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
13 ZHENG Erin - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
14 JU Jennifer 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
15 HALL Henrietta 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
16 VENKATESAN Harshitha - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
17 TRAN Helena - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
18 XIAO Katelyn - 2% 19% 42% 31% 6% -
19 WU Madisen 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
20 CHEN Alina - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
21 YOUN Emily 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
22 SCHLIEP Anna J. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
23 HSU Catherine 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
24 MILLER Cassandra - 7% 34% 41% 17% 2% -
25 GARCIA Aly - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
26 WROBEL Julia 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
27 PETRIZZO Anna 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 2% -
28 ZHENG Kristen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
29 SHETH Anayaà 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
30 SONG Charlotte 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
31 WALMSLEY Rowan 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
32 BUES Caelan 29% 52% 17% 2% - - -
33 FOMINA Polina - - 2% 8% 26% 40% 25%
34 DUNNE Jessica 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
35 JENSEN MJ - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
36 STEPTOE Cass 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
37 MONGI Holly L. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
38 DIBENEDETTI Isabella 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
39 MASTRONARDI Laura - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
40 DIOH Nicole 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
41 ORDORICA Abra - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
42 POYNTON Cora - 3% 22% 43% 28% 5% -
43 YANAGIDA Coco 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
44 SIZER Courtney 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
45 CUFF Addison 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
46 HAMMONDS Carissa 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2%
47 CROWDER Julia 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
48 FRANKEL Abigail 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
49 WHEELER Michele L. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2%
50 MONITTO Malina - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
51 LAU Karina 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
52 REED Juliya 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
53 ALVAREZ Letizia 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
54 WESTERFELD Zoey 48% 44% 8% 1% - - -
55 BRANDON Em 2% 22% 43% 27% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.