Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
2 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
3 YOUN Kylie 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
3 XU Mulan 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
5 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 MARCHANT Morgan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
7 LAW Mila 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
8 BRODEUR Andrea 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
9 BARMAN Willa 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
10 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 21%
11 ZUCKER Emily A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
12 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
13 ZHENG Erin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
14 JU Jennifer 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
15 HALL Henrietta 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
16 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
17 TRAN Helena 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 XIAO Katelyn 100% 100% 98% 79% 37% 6% -
19 WU Madisen 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
20 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
21 YOUN Emily 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
22 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 7%
23 HSU Catherine 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
24 MILLER Cassandra 100% 100% 93% 59% 18% 2% -
25 GARCIA Aly 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
26 WROBEL Julia 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
27 PETRIZZO Anna 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
28 ZHENG Kristen 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
29 SHETH Anayaà 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
30 SONG Charlotte 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
31 WALMSLEY Rowan 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
32 BUES Caelan 100% 71% 19% 2% - - -
33 FOMINA Polina 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
34 DUNNE Jessica 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
35 JENSEN MJ 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
36 STEPTOE Cass 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
37 MONGI Holly L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
38 DIBENEDETTI Isabella 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
39 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
40 DIOH Nicole 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
41 ORDORICA Abra 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 8%
42 POYNTON Cora 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 5% -
43 YANAGIDA Coco 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
44 SIZER Courtney 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
45 CUFF Addison 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
46 HAMMONDS Carissa 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
47 CROWDER Julia 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% -
48 FRANKEL Abigail 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
49 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
50 MONITTO Malina 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
51 LAU Karina 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
52 REED Juliya 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
53 ALVAREZ Letizia 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
54 WESTERFELD Zoey 100% 52% 8% 1% - - -
55 BRANDON Em 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.