Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Veteran Men's Épée

Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ATKINS Benjamin - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
2 WHEELER Daniel - - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
3 PRIHODKO Andrew - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 17%
3 LAWLOR Lee 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
5 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
6 BUSH Thomas - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
7 YAKIMENKO Andrei 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
8 GERSEN Jacob - 1% 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
9 BELLIVEAU Shane 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% < 1%
10 STEWART Robert - - 1% 8% 31% 44% 17%
11 COETZEE Frans M. - - 4% 18% 40% 31% 6%
12 PHO Eric - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
13 CHENG Thomas - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
14 HARRIS Robert S. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
15 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2%
16 HUGHES Michael D. - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
17 SPRINGER Michael - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
18 ELBAG Mark H. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
19 LIU Kun 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
20 VIEDERMAN Matthew (Matt) 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
21 MCDONNELL Michael - - 3% 18% 42% 31% 7%
22 FROLICH Grant 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
23 CHOI Paul S. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
24 HARRELL D. Fox 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
25 NEMAZIE David A. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
26 RUGGLES William R. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
27 CHU Brandon A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
28 ZHANG Qing 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
29 WU Robert 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
30 DREYER Matthew W. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
31 WALTING Paul J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
32 ANDERSON Eric 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
33 WARD Carrington R. 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
34 HEKMAT Sina R. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
35 TARDIFF Seth 27% 52% 19% 2% - - -
36 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 1% 10% 40% 37% 11% 1% -
37 LESINSKI Jason J. 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
38 LEE Kevin 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
39 ROMERO Javier - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
40 PARTE Aidan 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
41 HANSEL Roy 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
42 MILES Ronald D. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
43 CUFF Joe 48% 43% 9% 1% - - -
44 O'BRIEN Timothy S. - 5% 29% 43% 19% 3% -
45 LUNIEVICZ Joseph P. 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
46 BERDICHEVSKY Steven 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
47 PIERRO Roger 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
48 LONADIER Robert 79% 21% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.