The Big Blue Annual 3 Weapon Open/Women's/Youth + Div 3 Saber

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIN Xinyi - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
2 PRUT Anton - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 LEE Noah - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
3 RAMESH Prashvin - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
5 HARWOOD Gray - - 2% 17% 44% 36%
6 KAPLAN Abe - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
7 NANAYAKKARA Damin 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
8 PHILLIPS Oliver - 6% 32% 51% 11%
9 GADOW Patrick - 2% 17% 39% 33% 8%
10 NEGLEY Royce 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 2%
11 SMITH Finnley - - 8% 38% 54%
12 IRIZARRY Nyla 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
13 BALIN Julia 9% 44% 36% 10% 1%
14 SKEETE Neil 1% 16% 76% 7% -
15 HAN Nathan 14% 45% 31% 8% 1% -
15 MONSCH Channing - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
17 GUARDIOLA Emily - 2% 16% 56% 25% 2%
18 JOSEPH Hannah 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
19 SNYDER Andrew 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
20 KARNAVAS William 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
21 BAZZLE Christopher E. 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
22 LUEKEN Adelina 59% 34% 7% - -
23 BAILEY Penelope 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
24 CABRERA Isabella 14% 42% 35% 9% 1% -
25 LU Sophie 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
26 JACKSON Julia 37% 45% 16% 2% - -
27 MOORE Ian 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
28 MARRELLI Carolina 21% 45% 28% 5% - -
29 IBRAHIM Yara 4% 24% 42% 25% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.