The Big Blue Annual 3 Weapon Open/Women's/Youth + Div 3 Saber

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIN Xinyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
2 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
3 LEE Noah 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
3 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
5 HARWOOD Gray 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 KAPLAN Abe 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
7 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
8 PHILLIPS Oliver 100% 100% 93% 61% 11%
9 GADOW Patrick 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
10 NEGLEY Royce 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
11 SMITH Finnley 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
12 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
13 BALIN Julia 100% 91% 48% 11% 1%
14 SKEETE Neil 100% 99% 83% 7% -
15 HAN Nathan 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
15 MONSCH Channing 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
17 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 100% 98% 83% 26% 2%
18 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
19 SNYDER Andrew 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
20 KARNAVAS William 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
21 BAZZLE Christopher E. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
22 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 41% 7% - -
23 BAILEY Penelope 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
24 CABRERA Isabella 100% 86% 44% 9% 1% -
25 LU Sophie 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
26 JACKSON Julia 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
27 MOORE Ian 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
28 MARRELLI Carolina 100% 79% 34% 6% - -
29 IBRAHIM Yara 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.