Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Southern Connecticut State University (James Moore Fieldhouse) - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Dina C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
2 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 LAZAR Carolina 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
3 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
5 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
7 BADLANI Diya 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
9 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
10 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 14%
11 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 PANNONE Elisa 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2%
13 COLE Sofia 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
14 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
15 SONG Jenna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
16 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
17 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
18 LIN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 4%
19 LI Christina 100% 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
20 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
21 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
22 KATS Ekaterina 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
23 CHOI Cara 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4% -
24 YUAN Agnes 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
25 YANIV Liya 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
26 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
27 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
28 POLING Katherine 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
29 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
30 KIM Claire 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
31 LAVINE Samantha 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
32 VACCARO Lillian 100% 82% 42% 13% 2% - -
33 BAULIN Zoya 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
34 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
35 CHRISTENSEN Nora 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
36 SHAH Mahi 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
37 DEEKEN Anna 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
38 JUNCADELLA Lucy 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
39 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
40 QI Annabelle 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
41 ZHOU Sophia 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
42 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
43 MAIA ZUCKERMAN Julia 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
44 JIANG Doris 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
45 WALMSLEY Rowan 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
46 PEPE Natalia 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
47 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
47 LOPES Julia 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
49 LENZ Phoebe 100% 62% 11% 1% - - -
50 SONG Sarah 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
51 POPOVA Polina 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
52 BENADOUDA Ines 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
53 MCCORMICK Ella 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
54 ALDREDGE Ginny Rebecca 100% 55% 8% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.