Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHONG Emma 100% 98% 77% 33% 3% < 1%
2 SHIH Eva 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
3 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 GAO Nicole 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
5 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 98% 79% 19% 1%
6 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 4% < 1%
7 YANG Nina 100% 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
8 HWANG Faith Lael 100% 97% 69% 14% 1% -
9 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
10 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 12%
11 LI Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
12 LIANG Ariel 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
13 YE Charlotte 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
14 YU Elise 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
15 YAO Astrid 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
16 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
17 KIM EMMA 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% -
18 SHIH Cayla 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
19 KIM Hailey 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 5%
20 LA Abigail 100% 83% 30% 3% - -
21 WONG Charlotte 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
22 HAN Yuna 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
23 LEE Katherine 100% 39% 5% - - -
23 SONG Esther W 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
25 HAN Joy 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.