Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GACIOCH Noah - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
2 LI Grayson - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 SU Samuel - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
3 FU Nolan - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
5 XUE Michael - - - 4% 23% 52% 20%
6 VOO Lucas - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
7 WONG Aaron - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
8 SAMIMI Sina - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
9 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - - - 6% 37% 57%
10 RONG Marcus - - - 3% 16% 44% 38%
11 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
12 LEUNG Dylan - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
13 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 6% 27% 47% 20%
14 BERTEL Florian - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
15 GUO Luke - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
16 MOSLEY Wally - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
17 DENG haoyu - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
18 MA Nolan - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
19 KROTZ Nicolas - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
20 DENG Destin - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 21%
21 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
22 PARRA Lucas - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
23 LIU Daniel - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
24 OLIVAS Joseph 1% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
25 WANG Devin - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
26 JU Shang 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2% -
27 GONZÁLEZ Jesús 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
28 TOYOFUKU Lucas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
29 LUO Alvin Y. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
29 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan - 6% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
31 HWANG Matthew - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
32 DAVIDSON James 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
33 XIE HanZhang (Elon) - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8%
34 DU Evan - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
35 WONG Vansen 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
36 ONG David - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
37 TAMHANE Sidhant 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
38 KOU Mason 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
39 WONG Alexander 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
40 MA Ciel - 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3%
41 LIU Xuyao - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
42 LEE Lucas - 2% 9% 25% 36% 23% 4%
43 SZETO Zachary 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
44 MILLER Xavier 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
45 SHOURIE Neel 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
46 SCHIPPER Johann 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3%
47 WU Nathan - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
48 ENG Kyler - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
49 ZHANG Luqi - 2% 9% 24% 33% 24% 7%
50 FU Benjamin 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
51 LIU Yihong 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
52 FUNG SCOTT 13% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
53 LI Vance 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
54 ZHAO Luke 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
55 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 2%
56 RAHMAN Ali - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
57 PARADKAR Akshay 16% 34% 31% 15% 4% 1% -
58 LIN Daniel - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
59 FEKETE John 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
60 FERRIERE Theo 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
61 WANG Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
62 GUO Jonathan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
63 SHIH Derek 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
64 SHOURIE Seth 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
65 NGUYEN Ethan V. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
66 NOLAN Morgan 39% 42% 16% 3% < 1% - -
67 YU Haoyun 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
68 ABRAHAM Aaron 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
69 MAI Sy 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
70 KONG William 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
71 KIM Daniel - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
72 WANG Mason 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
73 OR Anson 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% - -
74 CHAN Nathan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
75 GUO zhaohong 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
76 TAVERNA Matteo 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
77 HUNG Ludwig 63% 32% 5% - - -
78 YOO Lucas 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
79 TIAN Dylan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
80 ZHANG Jenson 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
81 YE Andrew 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
82 BALUCAN Gabriel 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
83 LI Connor 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
84 ZHANG Zhihan 7% 30% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
84 YUN Mason 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
86 BONTHA Dhruv 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
87 LIU Aiden 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
88 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
89 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
90 YUN Nicholas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
91 YIM Antonio 1% 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
92 KIM Christian 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
93 YOON Ian 10% 44% 34% 11% 1% -
94 KIM Hayden 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
95 PARK Sihoon 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
95 ZENG Aidrik 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
97 HAN Alex 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.