Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 LI Grayson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 SU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
3 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
5 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 20%
6 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
7 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
8 SAMIMI Sina 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
9 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
10 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
11 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
12 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
13 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
14 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
15 GUO Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
16 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
17 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
18 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
19 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
20 DENG Destin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
21 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
22 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 1%
23 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
24 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
25 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
26 JU Shang 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
27 GONZÁLEZ Jesús 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
28 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
29 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
29 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
31 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
32 DAVIDSON James 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
33 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
34 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
35 WONG Vansen 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
36 ONG David 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
37 TAMHANE Sidhant 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
38 KOU Mason 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
39 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
40 MA Ciel 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
41 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
42 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 4%
43 SZETO Zachary 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
44 MILLER Xavier 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
45 SHOURIE Neel 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
46 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 99% 91% 58% 20% 3%
47 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
48 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
49 ZHANG Luqi 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 7%
50 FU Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
51 LIU Yihong 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
52 FUNG SCOTT 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
53 LI Vance 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
54 ZHAO Luke 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
55 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
56 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
57 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
58 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
59 FEKETE John 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
60 FERRIERE Theo 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
61 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
62 GUO Jonathan 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
63 SHIH Derek 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
64 SHOURIE Seth 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
65 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
66 NOLAN Morgan 100% 61% 19% 3% < 1% - -
67 YU Haoyun 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
68 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
69 MAI Sy 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
70 KONG William 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
71 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
72 WANG Mason 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 6% 1%
73 OR Anson 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
74 CHAN Nathan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
75 GUO zhaohong 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
76 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
77 HUNG Ludwig 100% 37% 5% - - -
78 YOO Lucas 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
79 TIAN Dylan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
80 ZHANG Jenson 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
81 YE Andrew 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
82 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
83 LI Connor 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
84 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
84 YUN Mason 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
86 BONTHA Dhruv 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
87 LIU Aiden 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
88 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
89 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
90 YUN Nicholas 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
91 YIM Antonio 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
92 KIM Christian 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
93 YOON Ian 100% 90% 46% 12% 2% -
94 KIM Hayden 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
95 PARK Sihoon 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
95 ZENG Aidrik 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
97 HAN Alex 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.