Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOZLOFF Wyatt - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 LEE Nathan Uju - - 2% 17% 43% 37%
3 KANG Jeremy - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
3 GRIGORIEV Roman - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
5 LUC Cedric - - - - 3% 24% 72%
6 LUC Linkin - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 ZEYU wu - - - - 1% 16% 82%
8 VO Blake - - 1% 7% 34% 48% 10%
9 GU Andrew - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
10 CHEN Shawn - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
11 TANG Morgan - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
12 LEE Jayden - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
13 LEE Winston - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
14 SUN Ryan - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
15 KIM Enoch 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
16 SU Eric - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 DOOLEY Atticus - 1% 5% 22% 42% 26% 4%
18 SRIVATSAV Anay - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
19 LUO Gavin - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
20 KIM Suin - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
21 AN Chris (Siyoung) 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
22 YPHANTIDES Alexander - 3% 16% 39% 33% 8%
23 RAMBHIA Smit - 5% 30% 42% 19% 3%
24 WANG Xuren 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
25 ZHANG KAIQI - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
26 OU Rigel - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
26 CHAN Troy - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
28 TENG Lucas - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
29 CHEN Zhengming - 4% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
30 LOPEZ Mateo 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
31 HRISTOV Nickolas - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
32 LIU Baichen (Matthew) - 7% 34% 41% 16% 2%
33 CHOI LIAM - 2% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
34 XIE Justin 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
35 FERRING Theo 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% -
36 ROH Jaden - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
37 SUN Eon - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
38 LEE Alexander 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8% -
39 ORLINO Samuel 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
40 YUE Ivan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
41 LIN Ethan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
42 KIM Leo 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
43 HSIEH Maxwell 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
44 LO Shih-Hsuan Elroy 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
45 NGUYEN Ethan 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
46 QI Zach - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
47 YANG Jake - 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
48 SLOAN Ethan 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
49 LI Ryan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
50 LEE Kyle Sung Ju - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
51 JI Derek - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
52 LIU Paul - 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
53 HO Alden - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
54 LIU Chun Shing 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
55 EKAMBARAM Rithik - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
56 FU BRANDEN - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
57 DESAI Arthav - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
58 FISCHER Noel - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
59 SOULES-ONO Makoa - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
60 HORN Diodorus 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
61 QI Jeremy - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
62 ELSAYED Yahia 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
63 WU Dustin Yilin 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
64 ADAMS Jordan 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1% -
65 ZHANG Connery 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
66 LAM Ethan 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
67 WANG James 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
68 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 1% 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
69 MOROAICA Seiku - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 3%
70 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
71 SAHA Aryan 14% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
72 HIROTA Jackson 30% 52% 16% 2% - -
73 ELSAYED Omar - 5% 20% 37% 29% 7% 1%
74 RHODES Bryce 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
75 LVOVSKIY Roman - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 6%
76 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
76 AUSTIN John V. 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
78 LEI Isaac 3% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
79 NGUYEN Drake 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
80 KIM Derek 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
80 ZHANG Hanzhi 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
82 HAN Kyle 5% 27% 42% 21% 4% -
83 BODO John 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
84 ZHOU Ruibo 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
85 WALKER Camden 14% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
86 WU Allen 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
87 SAHA Aadi 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
88 CHEN Aaron 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
89 WU Kaiden 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
90 DENG Richard - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
91 CAO Chong 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
92 GRIFFIN Sid 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
93 FUGATE Logan 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
94 HIROTA Mitchell 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
95 LI Sky 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
96 ZHU yinxi 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
97 HUNG Jaden 1% 18% 47% 27% 6% -
98 LEE Bill King 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
99 ROHRBACH Flynn 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
99 TONG Evan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
101 LOVELL Jackson 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
102 STERN Kazuki 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
103 NG Jaden 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
104 LUTZ Brandon 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
105 XU Ethan 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% - -
105 HELM Bijan < 1% 5% 23% 42% 25% 5% -
107 JUNG Andres 68% 28% 4% - - - -
107 PAVLENKOV Maxim 1% 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.