Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 30%
3 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20% 1%
6 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 OSBORN Hunter 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
8 GROSSE Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
9 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
10 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
11 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
12 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
13 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
14 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
15 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
16 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
17 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 38%
18 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
19 NOLAN Tyler 100% 99% 85% 42% 10% 1% -
20 DAVIS Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
21 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 3%
22 YI Nathan 100% 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
23 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
23 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
25 WU Matthew 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
26 JEONG Arisu 100% 99% 87% 53% 14% 1%
27 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
28 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
28 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 12% 1%
30 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
31 RAVI Arjun 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1%
32 ZHOU alex 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
33 DE LOS RIOS Cristopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
34 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
35 NGUYEN Hubert 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
36 LEE Winston 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
37 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
37 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4%
39 DELONG Joshua 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
40 MARTINEZ Kenneth 100% 87% 48% 11% 1% - -
41 JACKSON James 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
42 WANG Marcus 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
43 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
44 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
45 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 6%
46 EVANS George 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
47 BAI Brian 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
48 LEE DoWon 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
49 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
50 ALI Adam 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
51 BIROAN Chaz 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
52 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
53 ARANA Abraham 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
54 JOHNSON Soren 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
55 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 1%
56 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1% -
57 INTERTHAL William J. 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
58 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% -
59 SEEDS Aidan 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
60 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
61 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% - -
62 LEE Sean 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
63 ECHEVARRIA Axel 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
64 CARRERO Quentin 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
65 NARANJO Andrew 100% 96% 48% 11% 1% - -
66 HART Justin 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
67 FORAKER Hudson 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
68 AU Joshua 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -
69 MENON Rahul 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
70 BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh 100% 79% 35% 6% 1% - -
71 JIANG Harry 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% - -
72 MARSI Mattia 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
73 SIENRA Xabier 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
74 CREMONA Diego Maria 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
74 WERTH Mario 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
76 MARTINEZ Gabriel 100% 78% 34% 7% - -
77 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
77 SIGG Noah 100% 68% 16% 1% - - -
79 LEE Scott 100% 14% 1% - - - -
80 COLANERI Trevor 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.