Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 ISOLANI Gregorio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 84%
3 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 61%
5 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
6 HARKINS Craig T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 9%
7 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
8 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 91% 48% 8% -
9 BAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
10 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 92% 58% 15% 1%
11 LEON Nicolas 100% 99% 89% 48% 11% 1%
12 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 6%
13 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
14 BAI Austin 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
15 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 2%
16 MOE Annan 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 2%
17 REYES Manuel A 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
18 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 98% 78% 21%
19 LU Nathan 100% 93% 53% 9% -
20 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
21 YOU Martin 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
22 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 94% 63% 20% 2% -
23 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 86% 48% 8% -
24 CORTEZ Reigner 100% 72% 26% 4% -
25 GRINER Kevin 100% 88% 47% 11% 1% -
26 ZENG Albert 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
27 HARKINS Asher 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% -
28 XU Maxwell 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
29 RIVERA IVAN 100% 75% 28% 4% -
30 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
31 SIMMES Jackson 100% 39% 5% - -
32 MCGUIRE Osborn 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
33 CANTERO Erick 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
34 CARRERO Quentin 100% 71% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.