Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARÍN MANRÍQUEZ Ángel Fernando - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
2 CHOI Ethan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
3 ROZALSKI Eli - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 HUANG Jonathan - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
5 PARK Rion - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
6 KIM Daniel Y. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
7 ZHONG Maxwell 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
8 WANG Michael - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
9 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
10 ZHOU Shawn 1% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
11 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 2% 15% 40% 38% 4%
12 ZHOU Chenqiao - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
13 KIM Jonah 3% 20% 41% 30% 7% -
14 CHEN Matthew - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
15 MORROW Brenden - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
16 BORG Matthew 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
17 VILLACRESES Mathias - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
18 YUE Jackson 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
19 ZHOU Ryan - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
20 KIM Aiden 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
20 QIU Zhaocheng - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
22 ZHANG Aaron - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
23 LI Edison M. - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
24 LI Richard - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
25 DESAI Nalin H. - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
26 PARK Sky - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
27 PINCHENG Yao 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
28 YI William W. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
29 SEIGEL Duncan 3% 34% 41% 18% 4% - -
30 SISINNI Leonardo - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
31 LIU William - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
32 HABBOUB Qusai - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
33 WONG Evan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
34 PARK William 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
35 BAE Eugene - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
36 CHANG Jonathan - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
37 WONG Braxton 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
38 WILLIAMS Dean - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
39 HOWLAND Jonas - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
40 GORDON William L. 4% 32% 40% 20% 5% - -
41 FARRAG Sherif G. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
42 ZHANG Jacob - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
43 DIVITO Dylan - - - 1% 19% 79%
44 CAJERO Luis O. 10% 39% 37% 13% 1% -
45 NAVARRO Kato - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
46 LEE Christopher T. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
47 TSOI Spencer 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
48 ZHANG Jayden 6% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
49 CHEN Hanson - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
50 BIELER Mason - 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
51 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
52 LI Daniel 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
53 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
54 PETROV Mikhail 32% 45% 20% 4% - -
55 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
56 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
57 KARPMAN Benny 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
58 YANG Charles 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
59 PE Noah 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
60 YU ShiYu (Henry) 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
61 NISHIHIRA Tyler 1% 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
62 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 1% 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
63 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
64 LEE Christopher 70% 26% 4% - - - -
65 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
66 KUZMAK Michael J. 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 1%
67 DACKO Nolan 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
68 FOY Grant 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
69 SUMIN Yang 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
70 WALLAK Jesse J. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
71 WEI Winston 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
72 ORNELAS Matteo 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
73 CHANG Nathan 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
74 SU Desmond 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
75 SU Preston 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
76 LEONG Wilson Hua 65% 29% 5% - - - -
77 BURLINGAME Owen 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
77 XU Ryan 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
79 NGUYEN Ethan 82% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.